Ultimate Fighter Season 10 comes to a close on Saturday December 5th at the Pearl theater inside the Palms. Season 10 of The Ultimate Fighter featured heavyweights and the main event will feature Roy “Big Country” Nelson vs Brendan Schaub. Also featured on the card will be internet sensation Kimbo Slice taking on Houston Alexander.
Kimbo Slice knee “wasn’t 100%”
Kimbo Slice has already lost during the filming of Ultimate Fighter 10. Kimbo was actually asked to fight in a semi-final match but Kimbo decided his knee was not 100% and passed up the opportunity. Dana White said he was “surprised” in an interview for Ultimate Fighter 10 after he asked Kimbo to fight in the semi-final and Kimbo told him of the knee problem.
Dana White has never been afraid to call a fighter out in regards to backing out of a fight and showed his obvious displeasure with Kimbo after meeting with him. Kimbo now is charged with taking on Houston Alexander. All I can say is good luck Kimbo. Nice knowing you.
An impressive card on Spike Saturday has some great fights on it. From Matt Hamill fighting as a +200 underdog to new stars of the Ultimate Fighter show like Big Baby (Rashad Evans nickname for him not mine) Marcus Davis and James McSweeney. UFC President Dana White knows how to peek the fans interest and not give away too much.
Three fights to play at the sportsbook and enjoy the rest
Whenever I bet UFC or boxing for that matter, if I like a heavy favorite, I never bet the fight. It just doesn’t make sense to risk 800 dollars to win one or two hundred. Always try to bet the underdog if at all possible. Exceptions are -110 or -120 favorites. Betting $110 to win $100 is a standard football bet so not a bad bet.
Matt Hamill +200 vs Jon Jones -260
Is it just my desire to see Matt Hamill win or is this line out of whack. Jon Jones is the 9-0 favorite here and Hamill is 7-2 with two very tough losses. I see this as a tough match for Jones and if he does win it will be earned.
Both fighters have wrestling backgrounds and Hamill has improved his stand up game. Hamill can trade with Jones and has faced better competition than Jones. Many of the experts are taking Jones. Give me +200 with Hamill’s heart and I love my chances.
Houston Alexander -260 vs Kimbo Slice +200
Didn’t I say above -110 or -120 was the most you should risk on a favorite? The exception that proves the rule. One caveat on taking Alexander Houston. If you can stick him with two other fighters into a parlay that would be great also. Don’t be afraid to bet him outright though. Take Alexander -260 and watch the line Kimbo Slice has a following and they will bet him.
Brendan Schaub +175 vs Roy Nelson -220
I said above I can’t stand to watch Nelson fight and I hope it doesn’t’ cloud my judgment here. Schaub should know exactly how Nelson fights now after spending a month with him shooting Ultimate Fighter 10. Schaub should know to stay away from the roly poly ball of slime that is “Big Country” Nelson. He should know. Mike Tyson said it best “Everyone has a plan. Until they get hit.” I trust in Schaub and plead with him. We don’t want to see this ball of flesh fighting every other month. Take Schaub +175. If he wins make it a knockout.
James McSweeney -120 vs Darrill Schoonover -110
James McSweeney a relative newcomer made it to the quarter finals on Ultimate Fighter 10. Schoonover also lost in the quarters by getting choked out. McSweeney pulled a bad draw going against Roy Nelson. McSweeney appeared a little too cocky after he landed some good shots on Nelson. He should have never let it get to the ground and Nelson basically laid across McSweeney performing a fat mans version of the crucifix. Pounding the top of McSweeney’s head until the ref stopped the fight. McSweeney -120
Those four fights were straight up bets. If you are looking to have fun with some parlays, I have picked the rest of the fights and there are some heavy favorites so parlays may not pay much. Remember do not bet these straight up unless you find a sucker at the UFC party that will bet you straight up and give you Frankie Edgar or Marcus Jones.
Frankie Edgar -700 vs Matt Veach +450
Frankie Edgar quick win
Jon Madsen +325 vs Justin Wren -450
Madsen +325 why not?
Marcus Jones -350 vs Matt Mitrione +250
If anyone watched Ultimate Fighter 10 this is an easy pick. Mitrione is already trying to figure out how to survive.
Marcus Big Baby Jones -350.
Brian Stann -140 vs Rodney Wallace +110
Stann -140 don’t use the pick if you don’t have to.
Mark Bocek -450 vs Joe Brammer +325
Joe Brammer +325 Need another upset pick? Only pick this if you have to pick every fight.
Shop your lines
Remember always shop for the best lines. In Las Vegas you cannot bet UFC at any Station properties. The best places for UFC action are the M Resort and the Venetian. The top four picks are straight bets, the rest are just for fun or parlays if you like.