It is time to be held accountable. Back in March, I wrote about my predictions for who would be the best American League starting pitchers in fantasy baseball. Let’s take a look at how they are doing and see if there are any who should drop off the list (there are).
1. C.C. Sabathia. I said “he will give yo at least two hundred strikeouts, a good WHIP and over 200 innings.” At the time of this writing, he is second in innings pitched, in the top twenty-five in ERA, and among the top five in wins. He is also in the top fifteen in strikeouts and WHIP. Good choice.
2. Roy Halladay. I said this could be his career year and I may be right. He is third in ERA and wins, and first in WHIP. He is fifth in strikeouts and first in innings pitched. Not just a good choic, a great choice.
3. Cliff Lee. He is so good that he is no longer an Indian or an American Leaguer. (Isn’t it strange that most teams that underperform fire the manager and keep the talent? But, the Indians fire the talent and keep the manager. I just don’t understand them.) He was sixth in the League in ERA and will probably be at least that in the National League. His WHIP was about 1.30 which is okay, and his wins were in the middle of the pack (hey, he played for Cleveland). Good choice.
4. James Shields. He is not all that I expected, but still a good pitcher. All his numbers are up this year except wins and strikeouts. Better than average pitcher but may not be top ten this season. We will see at the end.
5. Francisco Liriano. I thought he would make a comeback this year. He looked very good the second half of last season. This year he just has not had anything. Dump him.
6. Ervin Santana. He has had physical issues: elbow and forearm. He has not gotten into the groove this year, especially at home. His ERA is prohibitive–over 7.00– and his WHIP is too. He has simply not overcome the arm injuries and is not a top pitcher this year.
7. Zack Greinke. I said, “Even though he pitches for Kansas City, he will again finish in the top ten in ERA and strikeouts. His WHIP should be around one and one-quarter, and he will give you 200 innings….You have to like him.” I underestimated him. His ERA is the best in the league for starting pitchers. He is second in strikeouts and his WHIP is 1.14. Great choice.
8. Scott Baker. Everything has been fine but his ERA. I thought his days of giving up home runs were over; they are not. I don’t understand how a guy can have a WHIP close to Greinke’s while giving up the round trips. Oh, well. He is a good choice for the eight spot.
9. Justin Verlander. My review of Verlander started out with, “Verlander is a flat-out sensational pitcher” and he continues to prove me right. He gives a fantasy owner top five or ten results in every category. Great pick. Repeat, great pick.
10. A.J. Burnett. This is one of Burnett’s better years. I predict that he will beat last year’s ERA while he falls a couple wins short of last year’s win number. His WHIP is middle of the pack and his strikeouts are in the top twenty. Good choice.
Of the ten I chose back in March, I will stick with eight. Liriano was a mistake. Santana has not overcome his injuries but it is too late for him to turn the season around. Shields is a question mark, but I will stick with him till the end of the season.
How did you do with your picks?